Know what your products should cost —before your supplier tells you.
From the chemical market to the negotiation table, in one tool. CostAdvisor maps 1,700+ chemical products to the public indexes that drive their cost, then carries that knowledge through your portfolio, your category strategy and your next negotiation.
Market librarysame for every buyerRolling outReal · Jun 2026
Should-cost index · Europe99.2 Jan 2023 = 100
Driven by: iron · acid · energy · labour┄ 94.8 by Dec
Add to portfolio
Your workspaceAquaverde · privateIllustrative
Should-cost€291/t
Supplier A · DAP€339/t
Gap▲ €48/t above should-cost
Should-costSupplier A
Q3-24Q4-24Q1-25Q2-25Q3-25Q4-25Q1-26Q2-26
ANNUAL GAP
≈ €105,600
€48 × 2,200 t
FLOOR
€252/t
cost before margin
ThenBrief · floor €252›Coagulants plan›5 actions
Market library, real data: the should-cost index for ferric chloride 40% in Europe is 99.2 in June 2026 (January 2023 = 100), driven by iron, acid, energy and labour indexes, with a forecast of 94.8 by December 2026. Add to portfolio copies it into Aquaverde's private workspace. Illustrative example from here: the should-cost is €291 a tonne against Supplier A's €339: €48 a tonne above should-cost, about €105,600 a year on 2,200 tonnes. The floor, the cost before margin, is €252 a tonne. Then: a negotiation brief with the €252 floor, a Coagulants category plan and five actions.
Real library data to Jun 2026 ·Illustrative Aquaverde and Supplier A are fictional. Follow it ↓
Public indexes, monthly · data to Jun 2026 · FX: ECB daily
Iron & steel scrap · US BLS104.6▲ +12.2% 12 moAlkalies & chlorine · US BLS72.5▲ +6.6% 12 moNatural gas, Henry Hub · EIA89.9▼ −2.7% 12 moLabour cost index · Eurostat114.8▲ +3.7% 12 moIndustrial electricity · EIA91.0▼ −3.2% 12 moSulfuric acid · US BLS124.2▲ +16.1% 12 moUrea · World Bank161.3▲ +77.1% 12 moCaustic soda · US BLS63.8▲ +8.9% 12 mo1 EUR =1.1186 USD▲ +0.08% d/d1 EUR =0.8470 GBP▲ +0.06% d/d1 EUR =7.4974 CNY▲ +0.05% d/d
Iron & steel scrap · US BLS104.6▲ +12.2% 12 moAlkalies & chlorine · US BLS72.5▲ +6.6% 12 moNatural gas, Henry Hub · EIA89.9▼ −2.7% 12 moLabour cost index · Eurostat114.8▲ +3.7% 12 moIndustrial electricity · EIA91.0▼ −3.2% 12 moSulfuric acid · US BLS124.2▲ +16.1% 12 moUrea · World Bank161.3▲ +77.1% 12 moCaustic soda · US BLS63.8▲ +8.9% 12 mo1 EUR =1.1186 USD▲ +0.08% d/d1 EUR =0.8470 GBP▲ +0.06% d/d1 EUR =7.4974 CNY▲ +0.05% d/d
Seven jobs. Five tools. The money leaks in between.
Index data in one tab. The cost model in a spreadsheet. The supplier's letter in your inbox. The category plan in last year's deck. Every hand-off is a copy-paste, and every copy-paste goes stale.
Aquaverde, a water utility, buys about 2,200 tonnes of ferric chloride 40% a year for its Rotterdam plant. In Q2 2026, Supplier A invoiced €339 a tonne. Is that fair, and what should Aquaverde do about it? The next seven steps answer that, one hand-off at a time.
Illustrative example, real library. Aquaverde and Suppliers A and B are fictional, and so are their prices. The library data in blue is real: the card, its index, the sources, the counts.
The purchaseIllustrative
Buyer
Aquaverde (water utility)
Product
Ferric chloride 40%
Site
Rotterdam
Supplier
Supplier A
Incoterm
DAP
Volume
≈ 2,200 t a year
Last invoice
€339/t Q2 2026
Start where you are
Pick the line that sounds like your week. We'll take you to the first step that answers it and mark your path on the rail.
01 · Discover · in the app: IntelligenceRolling out to early-access teams
See what drives the cost — before you see the price.
The library's real card for ferric chloride 40%: a cost recipe on public indexes, a should-cost index and forecast for each region, how it is made, who buys it, and how far its makers are checked.
One of 1,750 cards, all built the sameindex by regionforecastcycleseasonalityvolatilitytwo mapssupply badge
The library's real product card, data to Jun 2026. Ferric chloride liquid FeCl3 40%, made by oxidative ferric-salt manufacture in the Inorganic Chemicals family; bought for coagulation in municipal water, and in 27 categories across 25 industries. Verified makers badge: Independent makers of this exact product are verified on their own pages. Should-cost index by region in Jun 2026 (January 2023 = 100): Europe 99.2, North America 92.7, China 101.6, Asia-Pacific 102.1, India 102.8, Middle East and Africa 102.2. In Europe the index peaked at 104.5 in Mar 2023 and stands at 99.2; the six-month forecast (modelled) eases to 94.8 by December 2026. Cost drivers: iron scrap, hydrochloric acid, electricity, process water, labour; 6 cost lines with the margin.
recipe · 6 cost linesAdd to portfolio copies the recipe into your private workspace. Nothing flows back.
02
02 · Model · in the app: Portfolio
Turn the market into your number.
Add to portfolio turns the card into Aquaverde's cost model: the recipe and its index from the library, the terms from the team. DAP Rotterdam adds a freight line. Try it: move an index.
Illustrative cost model calculator. Four index sliders (iron source 105, hydrochloric acid 82, energy 90, labour 115, Q1 2023 = 100) with illustrative weights of 26, 28, 11 and 12 percent of a €300 starting price, plus a fixed €30 freight and delivery line (DAP Rotterdam, set by the Incoterm) and a fixed €39 margin. Should-cost €291 a tonne, floor €252, gap €48 a tonne against Supplier A's €339, annual gap €105,600 on 2,200 tonnes.
should-cost · €291/t · every quarterMonitor puts it next to every invoice from Supplier A.
03
03 · Watch · in the app: Monitor
Know when a price stops following the market.
Every product next to what it should cost, ranked by the money at stake. The should-cost follows the library's index: in a year it rose about €6 a tonne. Supplier A's price rose €49.
Negotiation › MonitorYour workspaceIllustrative
Monitor: should-cost against actual price per product, Q2 2026, euros per tonne. Illustrative.
Product
Supplier
Should-cost
Actual
Gap
Status
Ferric chloride 40%
Supplier A
291
339
+48
Alert
Polyaluminium chloride 18%
Supplier A
486
507
+21
Watch
Caustic soda 50%
Supplier C
382
391
+9
Watch
Ferric chloride 40%
Supplier B
291
299
+8
Watch
Aluminium sulphate liquid
Supplier A
272
276
+4
On track
€/t · Q2 2026 · ranked by gap. Alert at €25/t above should-cost (your threshold). ◆Should-costs are priced on the library's indexes.
Ferric chloride 40% · Supplier A · quarterly
Should-cost ◆Supplier AGap
See the numbers
Should-cost and Supplier A price by quarter, euros per tonne (illustrative)
Quarter
Should-cost
Supplier A
Gap
Q3-24
281.94
285
+3.06
Q4-24
282.67
286
+3.33
Q1-25
290.28
293.5
+3.22
Q2-25
285.58
290
+4.42
Q3-25
282.28
291
+8.72
Q4-25
280.81
304
+23.19
Q1-26
293.11
325
+31.89
Q2-26
291.27
339
+47.73
GAP TODAY
€48/t
€339 against €291
GAP OPENED
Q4 2025
first quarter above €10/t
ANNUAL GAP
≈ €105,600
€48 × 2,200 t
Illustrative Monitor screen. Five products ranked by gap; ferric chloride 40% from Supplier A is on alert, €48 a tonne above its €291 should-cost. Over eight quarters the should-cost follows the library's real index for Europe, from €281.94 to €291.27, while Supplier A's price climbs from €285 to €339; the gap opened in Q4 2025.
gap · €48/t ≈ €105,600 a yearBefore you call Supplier A: which way is the market going?
04
04 · Anticipate · in the app: Forecast and Dashboard
Know which way the market is moving — and what to work on first.
The library forecasts each index six months ahead and reads its cycle, seasonality and volatility. Your workspace turns that into euros and ranks the whole book.
Shaded months are a projection: the library's six-month forecast on your starting point. When an index has no model yet, the app shows a flat carry-forward and says so.
See the numbers
Should-cost history and projection, euros per tonne (illustrative)
Period
Should-cost
Kind
Q3-24
281.94
history
Q4-24
282.67
history
Q1-25
290.28
history
Q2-25
285.58
history
Q3-25
282.28
history
Q4-25
280.81
history
Q1-26
293.11
history
Q2-26
291.27
history
Jul 2026
289
projection
Aug 2026
287
projection
Sep 2026
285
projection
Oct 2026
283
projection
Nov 2026
281
projection
Dec 2026
279
projection
Priority matrix
Ferric chloride sits in Act now: the largest exposure in the book, and more volatile than the book's median.
Exposure = should-cost × last four quarters of volume. Volatility = spread of quarter-on-quarter changes. Dashed lines = portfolio medians.
Act now
Hedge
Monitor
Low priority
Illustrative outlook and priority matrix. On the library's forecast, the should-cost eases from €291 to a projected €279 by December 2026. In the priority matrix, ferric chloride 40% sits in the Act now quadrant with eleven other unlabelled products spread across Hedge, Monitor and Low priority.
timing · act now · outlook easingNow build the case.
05
05 · Negotiate · in the app: Negotiate
Walk in with the number, the floor and the answer.
The brief gives Aquaverde a target, a walk-away floor and the library's index evidence. Then it checks each claim Supplier A makes against what the index really did.
Floor€252cost before margin: a minimum, not a target
Target · the should-cost€291open near here
Their price€339what Supplier A charges today
defensible rangerange
€48/t not explained by the recipe€48/t gap
€252€291€339
Defensible range €252–€291. Open near should-cost; treat the floor as your walk-away point, not your opening offer.
Check what Supplier A says
Rolling out to early-access teams
Overstated
Our reading of the acid index is +6.6%, not +30.0%. At its share of the recipe, that move is already inside the should-cost.
They said
+30.0%
◆Library index, 12 months
+6.6%
Index moves explain about €6 of Supplier A's €49 increase in a year. The €48 above the should-cost is not explained by the indexes in the recipe, nor by the freight and delivery line.
Same rules as the app, against the library's index series: within 2 points of the index = already priced · under 0.5% = did not move · opposite sign = contradicted.
Illustrative negotiation prep. Floor €252, target €291 (the should-cost), Supplier A's price €339. Claim check under the app's rules, against the library's public index series: acid up 30% is overstated (index +6.6%); energy up 8% is contradicted, the energy index fell 2.7%; labour up 4% is real and already inside the should-cost (index +3.7%); iron up 20% is overstated (index +12.2%).
position · floor €252 · target €291One price is a negotiation. The category is a strategy.
06
06 · Plan · in the app: StrategyRolling out to early-access teams
Turn one gap into a category strategy.
Ferric chloride sits in Aquaverde's Coagulants spend. The library's report and playbook pre-fill the analysis and the opportunities; the team's spend and choices do the rest.
Strategy › CoagulantsLibrary × your spendIllustrative
17 of 19 opportunities scored · ◆levers from the playbook
Ringed: serves a selected objective. Hover or focus a bubble for its lever type.
Illustrative Coagulants strategy. Kraljic position: Leverage. Spend: €2.35 million a year, Supplier A 67% and Supplier B 33% of Aquaverde's own spend. Impact versus ease: 17 of 19 opportunities scored, 11 of them quick wins. Two objectives selected: cost reduction and supply security.
plan · 2 objectives · 19 opportunitiesA strategy is only as good as its next action.
07
07 · Act · in the app: Strategy › ActionsRolling out to early-access teams
Give every opportunity an owner and a date.
Each chosen lever becomes an action with an owner, a due date and a status, as a table or a timeline. Overdue work shows up before the next quarter does.
Share should-cost evidence with Supplier ACM · due 30 Oct◆ Pricing & ConditionsIn progress
Ask for an index-linked price clauseCM · due 15 Dec◆ Pricing & ConditionsNot started
Request a reference quote from a second makerBY · due 27 Nov◆ Global SourcingNot started
Jar-test ferric chloride against PACQA · due 13 Nov◆ Product Spec ImprovementIn progress
Align both ferric chloride contract end datesBY · due 30 Sep◆ Volume ConcentrationOverdue
Actions for the Coagulants strategy (illustrative)
Action
Playbook family
Owner
Due
Status
Share should-cost evidence with Supplier A
Pricing & Conditions
CM
30 Oct 2026
In progress
Ask for an index-linked price clause
Pricing & Conditions
CM
15 Dec 2026
Not started
Request a reference quote from a second maker
Global Sourcing
BY
27 Nov 2026
Not started
Jar-test ferric chloride against PAC
Product Spec Improvement
QA
13 Nov 2026
In progress
Align both ferric chloride contract end dates
Volume Concentration
BY
30 Sep 2026
Overdue
◆Strategy family from the Coagulants playbook. Owners are roles: CM category manager · BY buyer · QA quality.
Illustrative actions for the Coagulants strategy: five actions, two in progress, one overdue. Share should-cost evidence with Supplier A, in progress. Ask for an index-linked price clause, not started. Request a reference quote from a second maker, not started. Jar-test ferric chloride against PAC, in progress. Align both ferric chloride contract end dates, overdue since 30 September 2026.
new starting point · the agreed priceBack to Model: the next quarter starts here. ↺ step 02
The whole loop
Same data from the first screen to the last.
No exports. No copy-paste. The library feeds every step, and the agreed price starts the next round.
The market library
Holds
Product cards with cost recipes, index trends and forecasts, verified makers, market reports and category playbooks
Built mostly on public statistics and exchange benchmarks: US BLS, World Bank, FRED, USGS, Eurostat, EIA, LME and others. Every series names its source where one is documented. How a should-cost is built →
Straight answers. The longer version of each is on the Method and Security pages.
Why should I trust your numbers?
They come from public statistics and exchange benchmarks, not from suppliers. Every series names its source where one is documented, and every chart shows its data date.
Where does the index data come from? Is it licensed?
Mostly public statistics and exchange benchmarks: US BLS, World Bank, FRED, USGS, Eurostat, EIA, LME and others. If you already pay for a price agency, you can use your own index values.
How current is it?
Indexes are monthly, with history since January 2023; the current release runs to June 2026. Outlooks run six months, and flat carry-forwards are labelled. Exchange rates update daily from the ECB.
Will it cover my products?
The library holds 1,750 product cards across 25 families and 50 industries, and grows with each release. Anything missing can be modelled in the cost model builder.
Who checked the makers?
On 935 cards, makers of that exact product are verified on their own pages. Other cards say they are not yet verified.
Does my supplier see anything? Is my data safe?
No. Your prices, suppliers and strategies stay in your team's private workspace. The shared library is read-only, and nothing flows back into it.
How much work is setup?
Start from the library: one click per product gives you a cost model. Price lists and quotes come in as PDFs you confirm line by line; CSV and Excel cover the rest. No ERP integration is needed.
Will my supplier accept a should-cost argument?
The brief shows which indexes moved and by how much, with their sources, and checks the supplier's own claims against them. It never guesses the supplier's real costs.
How does this sit next to a price-agency subscription?
CostAdvisor does not replace a price agency. It turns index moves into your should-cost, your gap and your negotiation position, and you can use your own agency values.
Where does CostAdvisor use AI?
Research is AI-assisted and evidence-checked: sources named, makers verified on their own pages, no invented numbers. In the product, the figures in a brief come from the calculation engine, not from a language model. The AI features run on a model we host, and nothing goes to a third-party AI provider.
Book a demo
Bring one product. We'll take it through all seven steps.